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Friendlies Clubs · International
Lokomotiv vs FC Orenburg prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv host FC Orenburg in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lokomotiv to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lokomotiv 2–0 FC Orenburg.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. FC Orenburg had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lokomotiv's last 10 and 7 of FC Orenburg's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.65 conceded across 17 matches; away from home FC Orenburg averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Lokomotiv and 1.20 from FC Orenburg. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 27%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv (green) and FC Orenburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | LDLWD | 0.60 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
| FC Orenburg | DLDDD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Aug 2026 · FC Orenburg 1–1 Lokomotiv
- 18 Apr 2026 · FC Orenburg 0–1 Lokomotiv
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.11 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.