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Cup · Russia
Lokomotiv vs Akron prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv host Akron in the Cup (Russia) on 13 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lokomotiv 1–1 Akron.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Akron had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lokomotiv's last 10 and 4 of Akron's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.61 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Akron averaged 1.54 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Lokomotiv and 0.69 from Akron. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 16%, against 57%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv (green) and Akron (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Sep 2026 · Akron 0–0 Lokomotiv
- 8 Aug 2026 · Lokomotiv 0–0 Akron
- 11 Jul 2026 · Lokomotiv 3–0 Akron
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 60% | 1.53 |
| Lokomotiv Win | 57% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.