Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv

The PunterPick prediction

Ludogorets WinOdds 1.48Market probability 61%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Ludogorets in the First League (Bulgaria) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ludogorets Win — Ludogorets to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Ludogorets had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 10 and 4 of Ludogorets's last 10; 0 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ludogorets averaged 1.00 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.04 from Ludogorets. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 42%, against 13%, 23% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lokomotiv Plovdiv (green) and Ludogorets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack23% – 77%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals43% – 57%

Overall strength39% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	DWWDW	0.80	0.70	20%	0%
Ludogorets	LWWWW	2.40	0.60	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Jul 2026 · Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
29 May 2026 · Ludogorets 0–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Ludogorets Win	65%	1.48
BTTS No	60%	1.53
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.