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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Arda Kardzhali in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Arda Kardzhali had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 10 and 6 of Arda Kardzhali's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Arda Kardzhali averaged 1.07 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 from Arda Kardzhali. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 31%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv Plovdiv (green) and Arda Kardzhali (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | DLWLL | 0.50 | 1.30 | 30% | 20% |
| Arda Kardzhali | DLLWW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Aug 2026 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali
- 4 Jul 2026 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali
- 16 May 2026 · Arda Kardzhali 4–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- 8 May 2026 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali
- 30 Apr 2026 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali
- 22 Apr 2026 · Arda Kardzhali 0–4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Arda Kardzhali HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.