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Youth Championship · Russia
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 vs Zenit U19 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 host Zenit U19 in the Youth Championship (Russia) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lokomotiv Moskva U19 1–3 Zenit U19.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv Moskva U19 had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Zenit U19 had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lokomotiv Moskva U19's last 10 and 7 of Zenit U19's last 10; 8 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv Moskva U19 averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Zenit U19 averaged 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Lokomotiv Moskva U19 and 2.26 from Zenit U19. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 46%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv Moskva U19 (green) and Zenit U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | LWLWL | 1.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Zenit U19 | WWWWL | 2.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Zenit U19 0–1 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.