Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca

The PunterPick prediction

Lobos Upnfm Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.23Market probability 75%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lobos Upnfm host Génesis in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 31 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lobos Upnfm Over 0.5 Goals — Lobos Upnfm Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Lobos Upnfm had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Génesis had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Lobos Upnfm's last 10 and 4 of Génesis's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lobos Upnfm averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Génesis averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Lobos Upnfm and 0.87 from Génesis. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lobos Upnfm (green) and Génesis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form91% – 9%

Attack78% – 22%

Defence88% – 13%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength73% – 26%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Lobos Upnfm	LWDWW	1.10	1.10	30%	30%
Génesis	LLLDL	1.00	1.20	40%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

24 Apr 2026 · Lobos Upnfm 0–1 Génesis

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.35
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.36
BTTS Yes	53%	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	1.95
2nd Half Higher Goals	46%	2.03
Lobos Upnfm Win	42%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.