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Primera Premier · Mexico
Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lobos ULMX host Tritons Vallarta in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lobos ULMX 2–1 Tritons Vallarta.
Going into the match, Lobos ULMX had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Tritons Vallarta had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lobos ULMX's last 5 and 4 of Tritons Vallarta's last 9; 4 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lobos ULMX averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Tritons Vallarta averaged 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Lobos ULMX, 26% for the draw and 35% for Tritons Vallarta once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lobos ULMX (green) and Tritons Vallarta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | LDLLL | 0.80 | 2.40 | 80% | 80% |
| Tritons Vallarta | DLDLL | 0.56 | 0.89 | 44% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Lobos ULMX Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.