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Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Spain
Llosetense vs Arenal prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llosetense host Arenal in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Llosetense to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Llosetense 3–1 Arenal.
Going into the match, Llosetense had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Arenal had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Llosetense's last 10 and 3 of Arenal's last 4; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llosetense averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Arenal averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.17 goals from Llosetense and 0.87 from Arenal. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Llosetense (green) and Arenal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llosetense | WDLWL | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Arenal | LWLL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 75% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.