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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Spain

Llerenense vs Santa Amalia prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Llerenense host Santa Amalia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Spain) on 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Llerenense to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Llerenense 3–0 Santa Amalia.

Going into the match, Llerenense had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Santa Amalia had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Llerenense's last 10 and 4 of Santa Amalia's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llerenense averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Santa Amalia averaged 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Llerenense and 0.45 from Santa Amalia. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 10%. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Llerenense (green) and Santa Amalia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form68% – 32%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence71% – 29%
Head-to-head75% – 25%
Goals63% – 38%
Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
LlerenenseWWDWW1.401.0060%50%
Santa AmaliaDLDDW0.701.1040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 matches that day