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FAW Championship · Wales
Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llanuwchllyn host Penrhyncoch in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Llanuwchllyn 4–1 Penrhyncoch.
Going into the match, Llanuwchllyn had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 23. Penrhyncoch had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 30 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Llanuwchllyn's last 9 and 3 of Penrhyncoch's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llanuwchllyn averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Penrhyncoch averaged 0.00 scored and 3.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.12 goals from Llanuwchllyn and 0.95 from Penrhyncoch. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 8%, against 58%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Llanuwchllyn (green) and Penrhyncoch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanuwchllyn | LLDWW | 1.44 | 2.56 | 44% | 78% |
| Penrhyncoch | LLLLL | 0.40 | 3.00 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.41 |
| Llanuwchllyn Win | 55% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Llanuwchllyn HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.