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Primera A · Colombia
Llaneros vs America de Cali prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 01:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llaneros host America de Cali in the Primera A (Colombia) on 5 Oct 2026, 01:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Llaneros 1–2 America de Cali.
Going into the match, Llaneros had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. America de Cali had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Llaneros's last 10 and 4 of America de Cali's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llaneros averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home America de Cali averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Llaneros and 1.43 from America de Cali. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 52%, against 25%, 30% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Llaneros (green) and America de Cali (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | LWLLD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| America de Cali | WDLWW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| America de Cali Win | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.