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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Llanera vs Marino de Luanco prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llanera host Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Llanera 4–2 Marino de Luanco.
Going into the match, Llanera had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Marino de Luanco had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Llanera's last 10 and 4 of Marino de Luanco's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llanera averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Marino de Luanco averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Llanera and 1.59 from Marino de Luanco. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | DWLLL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
| Marino de Luanco | WLLLW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Llanera Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.