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Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Livyi Bereh host Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 12 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk.
Going into the match, Livyi Bereh had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Zorya Luhansk had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Livyi Bereh's last 10 and 5 of Zorya Luhansk's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Livyi Bereh averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Zorya Luhansk averaged 1.91 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Livyi Bereh and 0.90 from Zorya Luhansk. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Livyi Bereh (green) and Zorya Luhansk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | WLDDD | 1.20 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
| Zorya Luhansk | LDWDL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Zorya Luhansk Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.