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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Livorno vs Pescara prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Livorno host Pescara in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Livorno 0–1 Pescara.
Going into the match, Livorno had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Pescara had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Livorno's last 10 and 5 of Pescara's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Livorno averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Pescara averaged 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Livorno and 0.99 from Pescara. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 26%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Livorno (green) and Pescara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.