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Championship · Scotland
Livingston vs Partick prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Livingston host Partick in the Championship (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Livingston 1–2 Partick.
Going into the match, Livingston had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Partick had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Livingston's last 10 and 2 of Partick's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Livingston averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Partick averaged 1.00 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Livingston and 0.90 from Partick. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 32%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Livingston (green) and Partick (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | LWDWL | 1.30 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Partick | WDLWD | 1.00 | 0.50 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Partick 2–0 Livingston
- 18 Jul 2026 · Livingston 1–1 Partick
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.