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WSL Cup · England
Liverpool W vs Manchester United W prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Liverpool W host Manchester United W in the WSL Cup (England) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Liverpool W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 19. Manchester United W had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Liverpool W's last 10 and 7 of Manchester United W's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Liverpool W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Manchester United W averaged 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Liverpool W and 1.96 from Manchester United W. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 37%, against 31%, 24% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Liverpool W (green) and Manchester United W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool W | LLWWW | 2.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Manchester United W | WWWWW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Oct 2026 · Manchester United W 1–0 Liverpool W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Manchester United W Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.