Home › League stats › III Liga - Group 2 › Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Lipno Stęszew vs Chemik Bydgoszcz prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lipno Stęszew host Chemik Bydgoszcz in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lipno Stęszew 0–1 Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Going into the match, Lipno Stęszew had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Chemik Bydgoszcz had won 0, drawn 6 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Lipno Stęszew's last 10 and 9 of Chemik Bydgoszcz's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lipno Stęszew averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Chemik Bydgoszcz averaged 2.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Lipno Stęszew and 1.66 from Chemik Bydgoszcz. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 37%, against 40%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lipno Stęszew (green) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipno Stęszew | DWLLL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 90% | 70% |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | DDDDL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Lipno Stęszew Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.