Lions vs South Hobart prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lions host South Hobart in the Australian Championship (Australia) on 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lions 1–2 South Hobart.

Going into the match, Lions had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 6. South Hobart had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Lions's last 10 and 7 of South Hobart's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lions averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home South Hobart averaged 3.14 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Lions and 1.24 from South Hobart. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%, against 85%, 10% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Lions form and statistics
• South Hobart form and statistics
• Australian Championship statistics

Other Australian Championship matches that day

• Sydney United vs Canberra FC · 18 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · Australian Championship
  Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50