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Australian Championship · Australia
Lions vs Preston Lions prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lions host Preston Lions in the Australian Championship (Australia) on 22 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lions 2–1 Preston Lions.
Going into the match, Lions had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Preston Lions had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lions's last 10 and 4 of Preston Lions's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lions averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Preston Lions averaged 1.42 scored and 0.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Lions and 0.75 from Preston Lions. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 21%, against 34%, 26% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lions (green) and Preston Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | LLWWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Preston Lions | DLDLD | 1.60 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.