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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Liniers vs UAI Urquiza prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Liniers host UAI Urquiza in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Liniers 1–1 UAI Urquiza.
Going into the match, Liniers had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. UAI Urquiza had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Liniers's last 10 and 3 of UAI Urquiza's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Liniers averaged 0.79 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home UAI Urquiza averaged 0.47 scored and 1.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Liniers and 0.66 from UAI Urquiza. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 22%, against 39%, 32% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liniers | DWLLW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| UAI Urquiza | WWDLL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jun 2026 · UAI Urquiza 2–1 Liniers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Liniers Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.