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Championship · England
Lincoln vs West Ham prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lincoln host West Ham in the Championship (England) on 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lincoln 0–6 West Ham.
Going into the match, Lincoln had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. West Ham had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lincoln's last 10 and 8 of West Ham's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lincoln averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home West Ham averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Lincoln and 2.76 from West Ham. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 76%, against 19%, 25% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lincoln (green) and West Ham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| West Ham Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.