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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Limavady United vs Ballymena United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Limavady United host Ballymena United in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Limavady United 3–2 Ballymena United.
Going into the match, Limavady United had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Ballymena United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Limavady United's last 10 and 6 of Ballymena United's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Limavady United averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ballymena United averaged 2.19 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Limavady United and 1.62 from Ballymena United. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%, against 28%, 24% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Limavady United (green) and Ballymena United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | LWLWW | 0.90 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Ballymena United | WWDDL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.