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Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom vs Molde prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lillestrom host Molde in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lillestrom 2–2 Molde.
Going into the match, Lillestrom had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Molde had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 38 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lillestrom's last 10 and 6 of Molde's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lillestrom averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Molde averaged 3.00 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Lillestrom and 2.01 from Molde. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 47%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lillestrom (green) and Molde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | WLLWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Molde | WLWWW | 3.80 | 1.30 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Molde Win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Molde HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.