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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Ligorna vs Saluzzo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ligorna host Saluzzo in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ligorna 2–1 Saluzzo.
Going into the match, Ligorna had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 15. Saluzzo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ligorna's last 10 and 5 of Saluzzo's last 9; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ligorna averaged 3.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Saluzzo averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Ligorna and 1.18 from Saluzzo. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 18%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ligorna (green) and Saluzzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Ligorna Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.