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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lidköping host Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Vänersborgs FK to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lidköping 1–0 Vänersborgs FK.
Going into the match, Lidköping had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Vänersborgs FK had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lidköping's last 10 and 4 of Vänersborgs FK's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lidköping averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vänersborgs FK averaged 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Lidköping and 1.24 from Vänersborgs FK. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 49%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lidköping (green) and Vänersborgs FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lidköping | LWWWD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Vänersborgs FK | LLWWW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Vänersborgs FK 2–1 Lidköping
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Lidköping HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.