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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Libertad Asuncion host Club Guarani in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 11 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Libertad Asuncion 2–2 Club Guarani.
Going into the match, Libertad Asuncion had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Club Guarani had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Libertad Asuncion's last 10 and 6 of Club Guarani's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Club Guarani averaged 0.73 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Libertad Asuncion and 0.89 from Club Guarani. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Libertad Asuncion (green) and Club Guarani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | WLDDW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Club Guarani | DWWDW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Aug 2026 · Club Guarani 2–1 Libertad Asuncion
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Libertad Asuncion Win | 45% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.