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Leyton Orient vs Plymouth prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leyton Orient host Plymouth in the League One (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leyton Orient 0–2 Plymouth.
Going into the match, Leyton Orient had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Plymouth had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leyton Orient's last 10 and 6 of Plymouth's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leyton Orient averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Plymouth averaged 2.33 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Leyton Orient and 1.47 from Plymouth. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 40%, against 27%, 25% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leyton Orient (green) and Plymouth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | WLLLD | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Plymouth | LWWWW | 2.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Plymouth Win | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.