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La Liga · Spain
Levante vs Sevilla prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Levante host Sevilla in the La Liga (Spain) on 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Levante 3–3 Sevilla.
Going into the match, Levante had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Sevilla had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Levante's last 10 and 7 of Sevilla's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Levante averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sevilla averaged 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Levante and 1.16 from Sevilla. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 35%, 30% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Levante (green) and Sevilla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Apr 2026 · Levante 2–0 Sevilla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.