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La Liga · Spain
Levante vs Athletic Club prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Levante host Athletic Club in the La Liga (Spain) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Levante 3–1 Athletic Club.
Going into the match, Levante had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Athletic Club had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Levante's last 10 and 4 of Athletic Club's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Levante averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Athletic Club averaged 2.27 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Levante and 1.59 from Athletic Club. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 28%, 27% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Levante (green) and Athletic Club (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | DDLLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Athletic Club | DDDWW | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.