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1st Division · South Africa
Lerumo Lions vs University of Pretoria prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lerumo Lions host University of Pretoria in the 1st Division (South Africa) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lerumo Lions had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. University of Pretoria had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lerumo Lions's last 10 and 3 of University of Pretoria's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lerumo Lions averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home University of Pretoria averaged 1.43 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Lerumo Lions and 1.04 from University of Pretoria. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 49%, 29% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lerumo Lions (green) and University of Pretoria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerumo Lions | WWDLL | 1.60 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
| University of Pretoria | LLWDD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · University of Pretoria 0–1 Lerumo Lions
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Lerumo Lions Win | 45% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Lerumo Lions HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1st Division matches that day
- Gomora United FC vs Hope FC · 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Hungry Lions vs Upington City · 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - The Bees vs Midlands Wanderers · 31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44