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Primera B · Colombia
Leones FC vs Barranquilla prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leones FC host Barranquilla in the Primera B (Colombia) on 7 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Leones FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leones FC 1–1 Barranquilla.
Going into the match, Leones FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Barranquilla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Leones FC's last 10 and 7 of Barranquilla's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leones FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Barranquilla averaged 1.18 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Leones FC and 1.32 from Barranquilla. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 39%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leones FC (green) and Barranquilla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones FC | LLDLL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 30% |
| Barranquilla | DLLLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Leones FC Win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Leones FC HT & FT | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.