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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Lentigione vs Piacenza prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lentigione host Piacenza in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Piacenza to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lentigione 1–3 Piacenza.
Going into the match, Lentigione had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Piacenza had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lentigione's last 10 and 6 of Piacenza's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lentigione averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Piacenza averaged 1.17 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Lentigione and 2.17 from Piacenza. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 56%, against 39%, 30% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lentigione (green) and Piacenza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lentigione | WDLWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Piacenza | WWDLW | 1.90 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Lentigione 0–2 Piacenza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| Lentigione HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.