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UEFA Champions League · International
Lens vs Sporting CP prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lens host Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lens 0–2 Sporting CP.
Going into the match, Lens had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Sporting CP had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lens's last 10 and 8 of Sporting CP's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lens averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sporting CP averaged 1.78 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Lens and 1.96 from Sporting CP. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 43%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lens (green) and Sporting CP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | WLDWL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Sporting CP | WDDWW | 2.70 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.