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Ligue 1 · France
Lens vs Lyon prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lens host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (France) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lens 2–1 Lyon.
Going into the match, Lens had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Lyon had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lens's last 10 and 6 of Lyon's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lens averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Lyon averaged 1.10 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Lens and 1.43 from Lyon. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lens (green) and Lyon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Lyon 0–4 Lens
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.