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First League · Russia
Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leningradets host Torpedo Moskva in the First League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Torpedo Moskva Win — Torpedo Moskva to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leningradets 1–3 Torpedo Moskva.
Going into the match, Leningradets had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Torpedo Moskva had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leningradets's last 10 and 5 of Torpedo Moskva's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leningradets averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Torpedo Moskva averaged 1.62 scored and 0.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.70 goals from Leningradets and 2.03 from Torpedo Moskva. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 68%, against 17%, 25% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leningradets (green) and Torpedo Moskva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | WLDDW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Torpedo Moskva | WDDLL | 1.80 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 59% | 1.57 |
| Torpedo Moskva Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.