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Cup · Russia
Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leningradets host Luki-Energiya in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leningradets 2–0 Luki-Energiya.
Going into the match, Leningradets had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Luki-Energiya had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leningradets's last 10 and 8 of Luki-Energiya's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leningradets averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Luki-Energiya averaged 1.31 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Leningradets and 1.52 from Luki-Energiya. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 48%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leningradets (green) and Luki-Energiya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | LWLDD | 1.00 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Luki-Energiya | LWLWW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 60% | 1.52 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Leningradets Win | 48% | 2.03 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.