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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Leixoes vs FC Porto B prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leixoes host FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Leixoes Win — Leixoes to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leixoes 1–2 FC Porto B.
Going into the match, Leixoes had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 13. FC Porto B had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Leixoes's last 10 and 4 of FC Porto B's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leixoes averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FC Porto B averaged 0.86 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.56 goals from Leixoes and 1.20 from FC Porto B. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 59%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | WDWWL | 2.40 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| FC Porto B | DLLWL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Apr 2026 · FC Porto B 0–3 Leixoes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Leixoes Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.