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FA Cup · England
Leiston vs Coventry United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leiston host Coventry United in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leiston 3–1 Coventry United.
Going into the match, Leiston had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Coventry United had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leiston's last 10 and 3 of Coventry United's last 4; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leiston averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Coventry United averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 53% for Leiston, 24% for the draw and 23% for Coventry United once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leiston (green) and Coventry United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | LLLWW | 1.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Coventry United | WWLL | 1.25 | 1.75 | 75% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Leiston Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| Leiston HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.