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League One · England
Leicester vs Peterborough prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leicester host Peterborough in the League One (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leicester 1–3 Peterborough.
Going into the match, Leicester had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Peterborough had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Leicester's last 10 and 6 of Peterborough's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leicester averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Peterborough averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Leicester and 1.10 from Peterborough. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leicester (green) and Peterborough (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | LWDWL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Peterborough | WLWLD | 1.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Leicester Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.