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Segunda División · Spain
Leganes vs Cordoba prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leganes host Cordoba in the Segunda División (Spain) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leganes 0–1 Cordoba.
Going into the match, Leganes had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Cordoba had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Leganes's last 10 and 8 of Cordoba's last 10; 3 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leganes averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cordoba averaged 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Leganes and 1.15 from Cordoba. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 39%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leganes (green) and Cordoba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.