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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Leek Town vs Ashton United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leek Town host Ashton United in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leek Town 2–2 Ashton United.
Going into the match, Leek Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 19. Ashton United had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Leek Town's last 10 and 6 of Ashton United's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leek Town averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ashton United averaged 1.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Leek Town and 1.31 from Ashton United. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 29%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leek Town (green) and Ashton United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | DWWLL | 2.60 | 1.90 | 80% | 90% |
| Ashton United | DDLLW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.08 |
| Leek Town Win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.