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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Stadion Miejski, Poznan
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lech Poznan host Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 31 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lech Poznan had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 18. Wisla Krakow had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lech Poznan's last 10 and 6 of Wisla Krakow's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lech Poznan averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Wisla Krakow averaged 1.45 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Lech Poznan and 1.24 from Wisla Krakow. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lech Poznan (green) and Wisla Krakow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | LWDWL | 2.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 80% |
| Wisla Krakow | WDLWW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Lech Poznan Win | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ekstraklasa matches that day
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź · 31 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice · 31 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC · Ekstraklasa
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20