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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Lecco vs Alcione prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lecco host Alcione in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lecco 1–1 Alcione.
Going into the match, Lecco had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Alcione had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lecco's last 10 and 7 of Alcione's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lecco averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Alcione averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Lecco and 1.26 from Alcione. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 47%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lecco (green) and Alcione (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Alcione 0–2 Lecco
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.