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FA Cup · England
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leatherhead host Hanworth Villa in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leatherhead 1–0 Hanworth Villa.
Going into the match, Leatherhead had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Hanworth Villa had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leatherhead's last 10 and 7 of Hanworth Villa's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leatherhead averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hanworth Villa averaged 2.00 scored and 0.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Leatherhead and 1.89 from Hanworth Villa. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 49%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leatherhead (green) and Hanworth Villa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | DDWDW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Hanworth Villa | WWWWL | 2.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.27 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.64 |
| Leatherhead Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.