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Primera C · Argentina
Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leandro N. Alem host Centro Español in the Primera C (Argentina) on 6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Centro Español Win — Centro Español to win. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leandro N. Alem 1–5 Centro Español.
Going into the match, Leandro N. Alem had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 18. Centro Español had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Leandro N. Alem's last 10 and 5 of Centro Español's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leandro N. Alem averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Centro Español averaged 0.83 scored and 0.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Leandro N. Alem and 1.88 from Centro Español. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 60%, against 12%, 23% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leandro N. Alem (green) and Centro Español (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro N. Alem | WLDLL | 0.50 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Centro Español | WLDDD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Centro Español 3–0 Leandro N. Alem
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| Centro Español Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Centro Español HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.