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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Leamington vs Hitchin Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leamington host Hitchin Town in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leamington 4–0 Hitchin Town.
Going into the match, Leamington had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Hitchin Town had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leamington's last 10 and 5 of Hitchin Town's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leamington averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hitchin Town averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Leamington and 0.82 from Hitchin Town. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 46%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leamington (green) and Hitchin Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | DLLDL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Hitchin Town | WLLLD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Leamington Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Leamington HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.