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Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Lealtad vs Avilés Stadium prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lealtad host Avilés Stadium in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Lealtad 2–0 Avilés Stadium.
Going into the match, Lealtad had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Avilés Stadium had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lealtad's last 8 and 3 of Avilés Stadium's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lealtad averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Avilés Stadium averaged 0.75 scored and 2.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Lealtad and 0.42 from Avilés Stadium. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 14%. For the published pick itself the model gives 94%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lealtad (green) and Avilés Stadium (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lealtad | DLLWL | 1.13 | 1.75 | 75% | 63% |
| Avilés Stadium | LWLLL | 0.50 | 1.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.