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Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo SC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
LDU Portoviejo host Gualaceo SC in the Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC.
Going into the match, LDU Portoviejo had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Gualaceo SC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of LDU Portoviejo's last 10 and 3 of Gualaceo SC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home LDU Portoviejo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Gualaceo SC averaged 0.92 scored and 0.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.65 goals from LDU Portoviejo and 0.74 from Gualaceo SC. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 33%, against 37%, 31% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Portoviejo | DWDDL | 1.20 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
| Gualaceo SC | DWWLD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Sep 2026 · Gualaceo SC 0–0 LDU Portoviejo
- 7 Jun 2026 · LDU Portoviejo 1–0 Gualaceo SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.68 |
| LDU Portoviejo Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.