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Liga Pro · Ecuador
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
LDU de Quito host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is LDU de Quito Win — LDU de Quito to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: LDU de Quito 2–1 Barcelona SC.
Going into the match, LDU de Quito had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Barcelona SC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of LDU de Quito's last 10 and 5 of Barcelona SC's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home LDU de Quito averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 21 matches; away from home Barcelona SC averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from LDU de Quito and 0.64 from Barcelona SC. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 17%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between LDU de Quito (green) and Barcelona SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | WWDLW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Barcelona SC | DDWLW | 1.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jul 2026 · Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de Quito
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| LDU de Quito Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.