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Primera División · Costa Rica
LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
LD Alajuelense host CS Herediano in the Primera División (Costa Rica) on 15 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: LD Alajuelense 1–1 CS Herediano.
Going into the match, LD Alajuelense had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. CS Herediano had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of LD Alajuelense's last 10 and 2 of CS Herediano's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home LD Alajuelense averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home CS Herediano averaged 0.92 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from LD Alajuelense and 0.81 from CS Herediano. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between LD Alajuelense (green) and CS Herediano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | DWWLD | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| CS Herediano | LLWLL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Aug 2026 · CS Herediano 0–3 LD Alajuelense
- 13 Jul 2026 · LD Alajuelense 0–1 CS Herediano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| LD Alajuelense Win | 48% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.